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Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model

Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei

Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 1, Pages 98-101

Abstract:

The occurrence of fire accidents is influenced by many complex factorsmodel and Markov model to show grey feature and random separately, at last the model is used to predict fireaccidents in countryside.precision of grey model, the model can satisfy the demand in forecast precision, and it can be used for fireaccidents forecast.

Keywords： Grey model Markov model fire accidents forecast

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Experience gained in analyzing severe accidents for WWER RP using CC SOCRAT

Frontiers in Energy 2021, Volume 15, Issue 4, Pages 872-886 doi: 10.1007/s11708-021-0796-2

Abstract: documents on the safety of nuclear power plant (NPP) specify the requirements regarding design basis accidents(DBAs) and beyond design basis accidents (BDBAs), including severe accidents (SAs) with core meltdownThe system of codes for realistic analysis of severe accidents (SOCRAT) (formerly, thermohydraulics (

Keywords： system of codes for realistic analysis of severe accidents (SOCRAT) design basis accidents (DBAs) severeaccidents (SAs) computer code (CC) nuclear power plant (NPP) design water-cooled water-moderated

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Trends of environmental accidents and impact factors in China

Pengli XUE, Weihua ZENG

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2011, Volume 5, Issue 2, Pages 266-276 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0267-1

Abstract: An overview of the spatial and temporal variations of the environmental accidents in China in recentThe results showed that the frequency of pollution accidents was significantly decreased, from 3462 inThe water and air pollution accidents were found to be the dominant types, accounting for more than 80%of the total accidents.As to the losses of environmental accidents, the casualties presented an obvious reduction tendency,

Keywords： environmental accidents spatial and temporal trends environmental risk

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Fuzzy Rank Methodology for Risk Assessment of Environmental Pollution Accidents

Xiong Deqi,Chen Gang,Li Qiong

Strategic Study of CAE 2001, Volume 3, Issue 8, Pages 46-50

Abstract:

Based on the fact that risk assessment of environmental pollution accidents among factories is a multi-criteriaFurthermore, the methodology is applied to assess the risk of potential pollution accidents among four

Keywords： pollution accidents risk fuzzy assessment rank

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The influencing factors of the WTP for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents in China

Lei HUANG, Zhijuan SHAO, Weiliang BAO, Bailing DUAN, Jun BI, Zengwei YUAN

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2012, Volume 6, Issue 6, Pages 860-868 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0467-y

Abstract: factors that influence respondents’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents

Keywords： risk perception willingness to pay contingent valuation method risk management school of the environment

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Presentation of machine learning methods to determine the most important factors affecting road traffic accidents

Hamid MIRZAHOSSEIN; Milad SASHURPOUR; Seyed Mohsen HOSSEINIAN; Vahid Najafi Moghaddam GILANI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2022, Volume 16, Issue 5, Pages 657-666 doi: 10.1007/s11709-022-0827-z

Abstract: research was to develop statistical and intelligent models for predicting the severity of road traffic accidentsthe front not paying attention to the frontroad ahead, followed byand then vehicle-motorcycle/bike accidentsaccuracy, showed that the variable of reason of accident had the highest effect on the prediction of accidentshad the most influence on the occurrence of accidents.Therefore, motorcyclists and cyclists are more prone to accidents, and appropriate solutions should be

Keywords： safety rural accidents multiple logistic regression artificial neural networks

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Evacuation strategies for vertical ship lift during initial fire: Integrated application of stairs and

Shu CHEN, Menghan SHANG, Jianping WANG

Frontiers of Engineering Management 2021, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages 135-147 doi: 10.1007/s42524-020-0125-1

Abstract: Although several researchers have investigated fire evacuation strategies for reducing potential safetyhazards in VSLs, an effective and integrated application of stairs and elevators when a fire occursThe proposed model can provide a theoretical reference for evacuation research during initial fire events

Keywords： vertical ship lift initial fire fire evacuation numerical simulation stair elevator

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Building Fire Direct Loss Evaluation Based on Fire Dynamics and Probability Statistics Theory

Chu Guanquan,Sun Jinhua

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 8, Pages 64-68

Abstract:

Based on fire growth probability and burned area, the method for evaluating burned area in buildingfire is presented in this paper.According to fire dynamics and different characteristics in fire growth process, the process is dividedBy means of probability theory and event tree analysis, fire growth probability and critical time of

Keywords： building fire fire risk evaluation event tree probability burned area

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ANN Analysis of Multi-correlation Between Forest Fire Risk and Weather Parameters

Song Weiguo,Ma Jian,Satoh K,Wang Jian

Strategic Study of CAE 2006, Volume 8, Issue 2, Pages 61-66

Abstract:

Calculation of forest fire probability is a complex issue concerning weather, tree species, geographyThe impact of weather parameters on fire has been one of the hot spots in the forest fire study.In this paper, the effect of 5 daily weather parameters on forest fire probability is investigtated.parameters, and the BP network is a practical method in fire risk analysis.data in forest fire proteciton.

Keywords： neural network forest fire fire probability weather fire risk

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Fire Safety Science——A Promising and Interdisciplinary Engineering Scientific Field

Fan Weicheng,Liu Naian

Strategic Study of CAE 2001, Volume 3, Issue 1, Pages 6-14

Abstract:

During the past several decades, much progress has been made in fire safety science which aims atunderstanding the complexities of fire behavior as well as providing the technological principle forfire safety engineering.In this paper, the background and history of fire safety science are reviewed, the major fire safety

Keywords： fire fire safety science interdisciplinary science

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A New Way to Study the Three Essential Factors of Forest Fire

Zhao Xianwen

Strategic Study of CAE 2000, Volume 2, Issue 5, Pages 66-71

Abstract:

This thesis took the three essential factors of forest fire (fire source, environment, and litter)as the point of departure,and has approached the forecast method of forest fire in tropical area ofFor example,in the aspect of forest fire forecast, the main cause of forest fire was artificial fire,In the aspect of the analysis of environment that contributes to forest fire,correlation would revealIt provided an effective and quantitative way with higher reliability for forest fire forecast on region

Keywords： forecast of forest fire space remote sensing essential factors of forest fire a new way

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Review of Study of Water Mist Fire Protection Systems on Shipboard

Lu Qiang,Liao Guangxuan,Huang Xin,Wan Tianbin

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 9, Pages 88-94

Abstract:

During the last decade, water mist fire protection technologies have always been the hotspot in worldUS Navy, Royal Navy and other navies have undertaken an extensive study of water mist for fire protectionbe summarized in this paper, the purpose of this paper is twofold： to introduce their study to the fire

Keywords： water mist pool fire spray fire

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Development of realistic design fire time-temperature curves for the testing of cold-formed steel wall

Anthony Deloge ARIYANAYAGAM,Mahen MAHENDRAN

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2014, Volume 8, Issue 4, Pages 427-447 doi: 10.1007/s11709-014-0279-1

Abstract: Fire resistance rating of light gauge steel frame (LSF) wall systems is obtained from fire tests basedon the standard fire time-temperature curve.heat release rate, thus increasing the fire severity beyond that of the standard fire curve.for use in the fire tests of LSF walls.Finally, realistic design fire time-temperature curves simulating the fire conditions in modern residential

Keywords： fire safety standard fire curve realistic design fire time-temperature curves light gauge steel frame(LSF) walls fire resistance rating fuel load

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Effect analysis of fire location on fire growth in large space

Shi Long,Zhang Ruifang,Xie Qiyuan,Fu Lihua

Strategic Study of CAE 2008, Volume 10, Issue 11, Pages 37-42

Abstract: fire design, which includes the determination of fire location and heat release rate (HRR).fire locations in large space.Research reveals: only considering fire radiation, when fire develops in a location of bilateral symmetryThereinto, fire grow fastest when fire develops in the location of center symmetry.But other rules, which contain fire growth and the correlative time, when considering fire radiation

Keywords： fire growth fire design in large space fire location fire radiation model smoke radiation model

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Study on Fire Design in Performance-based Design

Xu Liang,Zhang Heping,Yang Yun,Zhu Wuba

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 1, Pages 64-67

Abstract:

Fire design is a key step in performance-based design.In this paper, several fire design methods have been introduced and fire design in a high-rack warehousehas been presented as an example to show how to apply fire design methods.

Keywords： fire design fire growth curve heat release rate